Learn English – Does “would” indicate intent but not possibility

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Please correct me if I'm wrong, but if "would" implies intention but not possibility, then, generally, it must only refer to persons not events. If such is the case, then this sentence, "Would it be right to kill innocent animals?" must be rewritten to sound like,"Is it right to kill innocent animals?" Are both examples correct?

If "would" could also indicate possibility, then why is the following sentence wrong?
"I wouldn't be surprised if he would win the contest."

follow up question:

If my understanding is true, does it also apply to "will", such that the sentence, "The next world war will happen in the next three days", be rewritten to sound like, "The next world war probably starts in three days"? Please enlighten me on this issue.

Best Answer

'Would' is considered as polite form of 'will'. You can use 'would' when you're little unsure about something, however, when you're totally sure, you should consider using 'will' instead of 'would'.

Example:
I would like to go for picnic. (possibility, but not sure about its happening)
I will go for picnic.  (more stronger than first)
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