Steam – What are the chances of crafting a Rare or Uncommon background

steamsteam-trading-cards

I've noticed that in the Steam Market, there's a variety of Steam Trading Card Wallpapers on sale, but some wallpapers have the prefix Uncommon, or even Rare.

What's the "craft" rate of getting these? Can I only get "rare" backgrounds from crafting foil cards? Or is it just a slim slim chance of getting one through regular crafting?

Best Answer

Let us consider emoticons obtained during the Summer Sale in 2018.

These are not sought-after items: they are very cheap, and people usually try to get rid of them, no matter their rarity. The price is the same for every rarity, because the supply greatly exceeds the demand. So, we could expect the proportions of each rarity among market listings to mirror the proportions of each rarity among items in circulation.

The proportions are:

  • 64% for common emoticons,
  • 23% for uncommon emoticons,
  • 13% for rare emoticons.

spreadsheet

market listings for emoticons

Similarly, for profile backgrounds, the proportions are:

  • 69% for common profile backgrounds,
  • 19% for uncommon profile backgrounds,
  • 12% for rare profile backgrounds.

spreadsheet for profile backgrounds

market listings for profile backgrounds

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