What are the chances of unboxing a StatTrak weapon

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It seems that StatTrak variants are all too rare, and sometimes hard to find. Compare this with TF2, where Strange weapons are aplenty, and unboxing one doesn't take too much effort.

However, nothing in CS:GO seems to suggest any sort of "percentage" of unboxing a StatTrak weapon. Is this a factor that is affected by the item quality that a gun gets? Is it a "set" flat percentage on all weapons in the crate?

I haven't seen any official documentation listing the official percentage (however, a "Unusual" item is almost always a 1% chance). What are my chances of unboxing a StatTrak?

Best Answer

If we relate to the model that is shown to us when we unbox items, i think that the possible listings are shuffled and then laid in a random order but with the very valuable items in the extremities of the list. I think when a case is opened, a random number is generated somehow that it has some kind of an average number, and average weapons standing in the middle of the list. From what i've seen on many unbox videos on youtube, if the roll is higher (you get further in the list), there is a greater chance to get a better weapon. However there are still some common ones past the "middle" area of the list.

I think nothing can be said certainly, just as in Dota 2, there is no certainty that you will get at least a mythical (or unusual) from a chest with lots of rares.

Related Solutions

The fastest weapon to run with

A knife or a bomb. Unless you wish to shoot, then a Tec 9 or Five Seven

Terrorists

Knife - 250 Velocity
Bomb - 250 Velocity
Grenades - 245 Velocity
Tec 9 - 245 Velocity
Glock - 240 Velocity
PP Bizon - 240 Velocity
Desert Eagle - 230 Velocity
UMP - 230 Velocity
P90 - 230 Velocity
Mac 10 - 225 Velocity
SG556 - 220 Velocity
MP7 - 220 Velocity
Scout - 220 Velocity
Nova - 220 Velocity
AK47 - 215 Velocity
AWP - 200 Velocity
M249 - 195 Velocity

Counter Terrorists

Knife - 250 Velocity
Grenades - 245 Velocity
Five Seven - 245 Velocity
P2000 - 240 Velocity
Glock - 240 Velocity
PP Bizon - 240 Velocity
MP9 - 240 Velocity
Desert Eagle - 230 Velocity
UMP - 230 Velocity
P90 - 230 Velocity
M4A1 - 225 Velocity
Mac 10 - 225 Velocity
AUG - 220 Velocity
MP9 - 220 Velocity
Scout - 220 Velocity
Nova - 220 Velocity
AWP - 200 Velocity
M249 - 195 Velocity

From here

What does inspecting a weapon do

Inspecting a weapon has no effect on gameplay. What happens is, some weapons feature StatTrak capabilities, which add a "kill" counter to all of your weapons. Sometimes, like for knives, the kill counter is etched into the knife, where for guns, it's counted through a display.

Inspecting your weapon will allow you to view the kills you have (if you have a StatTrak version) and look at your brand spanking new gun/shank/thing. See below:

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Notice the kill counter in the side of that AUG. It reads "000006".

Note, you can simply click or switch weapons to get out of inspect mode. Going into inspect mode doesn't force you to wait through the whole animation.

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The fastest weapon to run with

What does inspecting a weapon do

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