Keep asking your wife :)
Really though, that is your best option. You will always overlook things outsiders to the game will notice, simply because you might have an X number of ways of how the story could develop in your mind. So your best option is to work with someone who is outside the game and whose imaginations on things like that will not be limited by system rules and tropes.
UPDATE: Also, don't forget, you don't have to write down every single detail. Have the general plot in mind and then if your players give you something you haven't planned on, make it fit then and there. You'll be surprised by how many things the players will think of that you hadn't, so don't try and cover them all, do it on the fly.
I hope they pass, and try to plot for them passing but I feel like I need a swoop-and-save always in the wings.
Ah, here we clearly have part of the problem. They're in a situation where they would fail most of the time if you weren't engineering things for them to succeed, so they should fail some or most of the time. If you feel bad for railroading them or for removing the challenge from the game by ensuring that they don't fail, stop doing that.
PCs don't need to succeed all the time, especially when the danger isn't lethal. Failure can be instructive and even fun! (Even, dare I say it, . . . "character building"?) Honor is so important in that setting that a moment of lost honor, a recognition that they aren't perfect in all things, can do wonders in terms of future character motivation. Plan for the characters to fail.
That is not to say that they should never succeed or not learn anything, though, but there are ways of doing that without having direct social-roll confrontations or even after failing at all direct confrontations.
First, don't worry about giving them a loyal subordinate with the social skills to take on the courtiers some of the time, and don't worry about fudging the rolls for him up or down if you have to . . . maybe he's talented but new and prone to rookie mistakes or getting rather old and not as fast or perceptive as he used to be. Also, don't worry about having him advise the PCs. However, his advice shouldn't just be "do this"; have him offer multiple options with pros and cons and let things play out from there. Heck, let him be wrong sometimes just so the PCs don't rely on him too heavily. (A sufficiently deep intrigue will have elements he couldn't expect, or that were expecting him. . . .)
Second, give them plots where their bumbling or social weaknesses are strengths. Have enemies overestimate them and plan for the wrong reaction from the PCs, have their bumbling somehow convince everyone that they know more than they do (spooking the enemy into making mistakes), have them accidentally round up all the right people for all the wrong reasons and someone confesses to the plot and then asks how they knew, or just plain have things come to a point where the villains are expecting some nuanced social reaction they can parry and the heroes decide to just charge in and take care of things the old-fashioned way.
There's one more option: The overestimated idiot at the center of a backstabbing circle. In social politics, this is where everyone tries to curry favor with the lord by telling on everyone else. As a result, the lord is spectacularly well-informed about everyone else's secrets and develops a reputation for being an omnicient badass when all they had to do was sit there and look stern and knowing. If your players can handle that kind of information effectively, they'll find ways of taking care of business without ever having to make a social roll they don't like.
Best Answer
There is one piece of information that may help, but be careful never to tell your players: the world is flexible.
Just because you've got something written in your notes does not mean it is true. You thought that this NPC was not the sort of person to give out this information, but it seems you were mistaken. Is he perhaps a drunk or a fantasist (so the information is unreliable, and you may have to rewrite the castle plans)? Is he naturally garrulous, so his bosses have had to spread the belief that he is a drunk or a fantasist (the plans remain as they were, but NPC behaviour changes)? The fact that the characters now have information you did not intend them to have will alter the adventure (less time discovering clues, perhaps more time sorting the true from the untrue). It will not, as you seem to suppose, spoil it.
The purpose of an adventure is not "the characters start here, move through this and that, and win the final confrontation"; it is for you and the players to have fun. If you can spin a new and enjoyable adventure from the present situation, you don't need all the notes you prepared. If you can re-align the adventure so that it stays on course despite this change, that's equally good; just be prepared to re-realign it when the players come up with something you hadn't thought of.
But don't let the players know you are making it up as you go along.